2010 State of Logistics: Make your move

The cost of the U.S. business logistics system declined 18.2 percent in 2009—the largest drop in the history of the State of Logistics Report. But as the economy slowly improves, shippers will need to be more cautious and tactical as they face increasing volumes, tight capacity, and higher rates.

By ·

During World War II, the U.S. Navy enlisted world champion chess player Reuben Fine to calculate—on the basis of positional probability—where enemy submarines were most likely to surface. Years later, Fine was asked about the project’s outcome, and modestly replied: “It worked out all right.”

While logistics managers may not be consulting with chess masters these days, they are posing one big question to economic theorists willing to take it on: Is “The Great Freight Recession” finally coming to an end? Analysts and industry insiders are telling us that things are indeed getting better for shipper organizations, but that the tenuous business climate and tightened credit controls will make it difficult for carriers to rapidly expand capacity for the remainder of 2010. The shipper imperative, then, will be to collaborate with carriers like never before. With capacity tightening, a new urgency should be placed on mitigating risk and controlling cost.

The 21st Annual State of Logistics Report (SoL), released by the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) and presented by Penske Logistics at the National Press Club last month, confirmed what many shippers had been suspecting. The worst may be over, but as the economy continues its slow recovery, shippers are going to be faced with an entirely new set of tactical challenges. “We are definitely seeing a recovery,” says Rosalyn Wilson, the report’s author, “but not the kind that will generate a lot of new business this year. Granted, shippers have already made a great many sacrifices—that shouldn’t change suddenly in the short term.”

Indeed, according to Wilson’s research, the cost of the U.S. business logistics system declined 18.2 percent in 2009—the biggest drop in the history of the report.

Meanwhile, business logistics costs fell to $1.1 trillion, a decrease of $244 billion from 2008. Combined with the drop in 2008, total logistics costs have declined almost $300 billion during the recession. In fact, 2009 logistics costs as a percent of the nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) hit a historic low at 7.7 percent.

“Both major components of the cost models declined in 2009,” explains Wilson. “Inventory carrying costs fell 14.1 percent in 2009, and this decrease in carrying costs was due to both a 4.6 percent drop in inventories and a 10 percent drop in the inventory carrying rate.” Transportation costs, she adds, plummeted 20.2 percent from 2008 levels. Trucking, which comprises 78 percent of the transportation component, declined 20.3 percent while all other modes combined declined 20.5 percent.


About the Author

Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at [email protected]

Subscribe to Modern Materials Handling Magazine!

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Find out what the world’s most innovative companies are doing to improve productivity in their plants and distribution centers.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Article Topics

· All Topics
Latest Whitepaper
Gaining Efficiencies Through End-to-end Warehouse Automation
Warehouse and distribution center managers in B2B and B2C have never been under more pressure to scale up their operations to meet customer demands in the new, digital economy. Warehouse Automation Custom digital issue, Peerless custom Automation white paper. Warehouse Automation research papers.
Download Today!
From the September 2016 Issue
The fashion retailer has used warehouse execution software and automation to create a true omni-channel distribution center.
Lift Truck Tips: Knowledge is Power
Software system gives new facility a competitive edge
View More From this Issue
Subscribe to Our Email Newsletter
Sign up today to receive our FREE, weekly email newsletter!
Latest Webcast
5 Emerging Technologies Enabling Competitive Advantage for Distribution
Come hear about the latest in each-picking robotics, co-bots, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, sensors, drones and droids that are enabling competitive advantage for distribution.
Register Today!
EDITORS' PICKS
American Eagle Outfitters’ omni-channel journey
The fashion retailer has used warehouse execution software and automation to create a true...
The data-driven lift truck
Now that manufacturers and distributors are using the data from their automated systems to drive...

Destination Maternity: Destination Automation
Running short of space in its old facility, Destination Maternity Corp. built a new, highly...
Hibbett Sports: Faster, Flexible and Efficient
A high-speed conveyor and sortation system at Hibbett Sports’ Alabama distribution center speeds...